OrbHab>Spacesettlers

Re: 5 Reasons Going To Mars is a TERRIBLE Idea | Answers With Joe
# 13872 bywlm_efn@... on Feb. 27, 2018, 4:45 p.m.
Member since 2021-10-03

Interesting pessimist's take on trying to settle Mars. Note: I'm not an advocate ofhis basic message, but respect it.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ESQ1bKd7Los

# 13873 bybaur@... on Feb. 27, 2018, 7:35 p.m.
Member since 2021-10-03

so because the first attempt to build a closed ecosystem did not work
out it will never work out?

first tries at anything usually crash and burn ..

yes - all these ARE problems ... but problems that can be solved ..

servus

markus

Am 27.02.2018 um 17:45 schrieb wlm_efn@... [spacesettlers]:
> Interesting pessimist's take on trying to settle Mars. Note: I'm not an
> advocate of
> his basic message, but respect it.
>
> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ESQ1bKd7Los
>

--
markus baur SCA: markus von brixlegg
schluesselgasse 3/5 tel: +43 - (0)1 - 50 40 662
a-1040 wien email: baur@...
austria/europe icbm: 4811'39"N; 1622'06"E

a portrait: http://www.abcgallery.com/A/arcimboldo/arcimboldo9.html

"der Markus?? .... das ist der mit dem Buch..."

# 13874 bywlm_efn@... on March 1, 2018, 4:55 p.m.
Member since 2021-10-03

wrote :> so because the first attempt to build a closed ecosystem did not work> out it will never work out? >> first tries at anything usually crash and burn .. >> yes - all these ARE problems ... but problems that can be solved ..There is this little thing about how, before trying to build a self-contained habitat in
space, we have not been able to build one here on earth where it wiould be far far
easier to do. Also the fact that there has been no second attempt (at least that the
public knows about). It gives us a little warning that building and running a space
habitat might be vastly more difficult than enthusiasts think. If nothing else food for
thought.
---In spacesettlers@yahoogroups.com, baur@... wrote :
so because the first attempt to build a closed ecosystem did not work
out it will never work out?

first tries at anything usually crash and burn ..

yes - all these ARE problems ... but problems that can be solved ..

# 13875 byjoe@... on March 1, 2018, 5:35 p.m.
Member since 2021-10-03

wlm_efn@... [spacesettlers] wrote:

> There is this little thing about how, before trying to build a
> self-contained habitat in
> space, we have not been able to build one here on earth where it wiould
> be far far
> easier to do. Also the fact that there has been no second attempt (at
> least that the
> public knows about). It gives us a little warning that building and
> running a space
> habitat might be vastly more difficult than enthusiasts think. If
> nothing else food for thought.

Those are valid points, but the thing is, we don't *need* to have a
completely closed and balanced ecosystem on the first try. There will
be frequent resupply. There's a long continuum between how we live on
ISS, and completely closed CELSS, and unless we're trying to be
completely closed just to see if we can (as in Biosphere 2), there's no
reason to get too hung up on it.

The first space hotels will import most of their food, but to save
money, they'll grow whatever's easy to grow locally. The next, bigger
space hotels will grow more, possibly including fish. The one after
that might add chickens and rabbits, as well as grass and trees, while
still importing lots of stuff (and venting other stuff that later
colonies would recycle). And so on. A century from now, sure, there
will be large space colonies with complex and balanced ecosystems, with
almost no imports or waste... but those will be only a small step from
their almost-closed predecessors.

Best,
- Joe

# 13876 bybaur@... on March 1, 2018, 5:39 p.m.
Member since 2021-10-03

actually - i have been expecting elon musk to restart the biosphere
project (or try something similar) some time ago ..

servus

markus

Am 01.03.2018 um 17:55 schrieb wlm_efn@... [spacesettlers]:
> There is this little thing about how, before trying to build a
> self-contained habitat in
> space, we have not been able to build one here on earth where it wiould
> be far far
> easier to do. Also the fact that there has been no second attempt (at
> least that the
> public knows about). It gives us a little warning that building and
> running a space
> habitat might be vastly more difficult than enthusiasts think. If
> nothing else food for
> thought.

--
markus baur SCA: markus von brixlegg
schluesselgasse 3/5 tel: +43 - (0)1 - 50 40 662
a-1040 wien email: baur@...
austria/europe icbm: 4811'39"N; 1622'06"E

a portrait: http://www.abcgallery.com/A/arcimboldo/arcimboldo9.html

"der Markus?? .... das ist der mit dem Buch..."

# 13877 byrobert@... on March 1, 2018, 8:14 p.m.
Member since 2021-10-03

have you seen the orbs outside Amazon in Seattle? Pretty and pretty neat.Bezos has a High Frontier background.On March 1, 2018 at 12:38 PM "markus baur baur@... [spacesettlers]" wrote: actually - i have been expecting elon musk to restart the biosphere project (or try something similar) some time ago .. servus markus Am 01.03.2018 um 17:55 schrieb wlm_efn@... [spacesettlers]: > There is this little thing about how, before trying to build a > self-contained habitat in > space, we have not been able to build one here on earth where it wiould > be far far > easier to do. Also the fact that there has been no second attempt (at > least that the > public knows about). It gives us a little warning that building and > running a space > habitat might be vastly more difficult than enthusiasts think. If > nothing else food for > thought. -- markus baur SCA: markus von brixlegg schluesselgasse 3/5 tel: +43 - (0)1 - 50 40 662 a-1040 wien email: baur@chello.at austria/europe icbm: 48°11'39"N; 16°22'06"E a portrait: http://www.abcgallery.com/A/arcimboldo/arcimboldo9.html "der Markus?? .... das ist der mit dem Buch..."Robert SmithSpace Studies Instituteweb: http://www.ssi.orgthe space studies institute is a 501(c)(3) non profit organizationfounded in 1977 to promote the education and engineeringfor the Human Breakout Into Space

# 13878 bybaur@... on March 1, 2018, 8:25 p.m.
Member since 2021-10-03

not yet been to seattle 8)

servus

markus

Am 01.03.2018 um 21:14 schrieb Robert Smith robert@... [spacesettlers]:
> have you seen the orbs outside Amazon in Seattle? Pretty and pretty neat.
>
> Bezos has a High Frontier background.
>
>> On March 1, 2018 at 12:38 PM "markus baur baur@...
>> [spacesettlers]" wrote:
>>
>> actually - i have been expecting elon musk to restart the biosphere
>> project (or try something similar) some time ago ..
>>
>> servus
>>
>> markus
>>
>> Am 01.03.2018 um 17:55 schrieb wlm_efn@... [spacesettlers]:
>> > There is this little thing about how, before trying to build a
>> > self-contained habitat in
>> > space, we have not been able to build one here on earth where it wiould
>> > be far far
>> > easier to do. Also the fact that there has been no second attempt (at
>> > least that the
>> > public knows about). It gives us a little warning that building and
>> > running a space
>> > habitat might be vastly more difficult than enthusiasts think. If
>> > nothing else food for
>> > thought.
>>
>> --
>> markus baur SCA: markus von brixlegg
>> schluesselgasse 3/5 tel: +43 - (0)1 - 50 40 662
>> a-1040 wien email: baur@...
>> austria/europe icbm: 4811'39"N; 1622'06"E
>>
>> a portrait: http://www.abcgallery.com/A/arcimboldo/arcimboldo9.html
>>
>> "der Markus?? .... das ist der mit dem Buch..."
>>
>
> Robert Smith
> Space Studies Institute
> web: http://www.ssi.org
> the space studies institute is a 501(c)(3) non profit organization
> founded in 1977 to promote the education and engineering
> for the Human Breakout Into Space
>

--
markus baur SCA: markus von brixlegg
schluesselgasse 3/5 tel: +43 - (0)1 - 50 40 662
a-1040 wien email: baur@...
austria/europe icbm: 4811'39"N; 1622'06"E

a portrait: http://www.abcgallery.com/A/arcimboldo/arcimboldo9.html

"der Markus?? .... das ist der mit dem Buch..."

# 13879 byrobert@... on March 1, 2018, 8:49 p.m.
Member since 2021-10-03

Google Amazon OrbsOn March 1, 2018 at 3:25 PM "markus baur baur@... [spacesettlers]" wrote: not yet been to seattle 8) servus markus Am 01.03.2018 um 21:14 schrieb Robert Smith robert@... [spacesettlers]: > have you seen the orbs outside Amazon in Seattle? Pretty and pretty neat. > > Bezos has a High Frontier background. > > >> On March 1, 2018 at 12:38 PM "markus baur baur@... >> [spacesettlers]" wrote: >> >> actually - i have been expecting elon musk to restart the biosphere >> project (or try something similar) some time ago .. >> >> servus >> >> markus >> >> Am 01.03.2018 um 17:55 schrieb wlm_efn@... [spacesettlers]: >> > There is this little thing about how, before trying to build a >> > self-contained habitat in >> > space, we have not been able to build one here on earth where it wiould >> > be far far >> > easier to do. Also the fact that there has been no second attempt (at >> > least that the >> > public knows about). It gives us a little warning that building and >> > running a space >> > habitat might be vastly more difficult than enthusiasts think.. If >> > nothing else food for >> > thought. >> >> -- >> markus baur SCA: markus von brixlegg >> schluesselgasse 3/5 tel: +43 - (0)1 - 50 40 662 >> a-1040 wien email: baur@... >> austria/europe icbm: 48°11'39"N; 16°22'06"E >> >> a portrait: http://www.abcgallery.com/A/arcimboldo/arcimboldo9.html >> >> "der Markus?? .... das ist der mit dem Buch..." >> > > > > Robert Smith > Space Studies Institute > web: http://www.ssi.org > the space studies institute is a 501(c)(3) non profit organization > founded in 1977 to promote the education and engineering > for the Human Breakout Into Space > -- markus baur SCA: markus von brixlegg schluesselgasse 3/5 tel: +43 - (0)1 - 50 40 662 a-1040 wien email: baur@chello.at austria/europe icbm: 48°11'39"N; 16°22'06"E a portrait: http://www.abcgallery.com/A/arcimboldo/arcimboldo9.html "der Markus?? .... das ist der mit dem Buch..."Robert SmithSpace Studies Instituteweb: http://www.ssi.orgthe space studies institute is a 501(c)(3) non profit organizationfounded in 1977 to promote the education and engineeringfor the Human Breakout Into Space

# 13880 bybaur@... on March 2, 2018, 6:55 p.m.
Member since 2021-10-03

nice ..

reminds me a bit of the domes of the eden project

servus

markus

Am 01.03.2018 um 21:49 schrieb Robert Smith robert@... [spacesettlers]:
> Google Amazon Orbs
>
>> On March 1, 2018 at 3:25 PM "markus baur baur@...
>> [spacesettlers]" wrote:
>>
>> not yet been to seattle 8)
>>
>> servus
>>
>> markus
>>
>> Am 01.03.2018 um 21:14 schrieb Robert Smith robert@...
>> [spacesettlers]:
>> > have you seen the orbs outside Amazon in Seattle? Pretty and pretty
>> neat.
>> >
>> > Bezos has a High Frontier background.
>> >
>> >> On March 1, 2018 at 12:38 PM "markus baur baur@...
>> >> [spacesettlers]" wrote:
>> >>
>> >> actually - i have been expecting elon musk to restart the biosphere
>> >> project (or try something similar) some time ago ..
>> >>
>> >> servus
>> >>
>> >> markus
>> >>
>> >> Am 01.03.2018 um 17:55 schrieb wlm_efn@... [spacesettlers]:
>> >> > There is this little thing about how, before trying to build a
>> >> > self-contained habitat in
>> >> > space, we have not been able to build one here on earth where it
>> wiould
>> >> > be far far
>> >> > easier to do. Also the fact that there has been no second attempt (at
>> >> > least that the
>> >> > public knows about). It gives us a little warning that building and
>> >> > running a space
>> >> > habitat might be vastly more difficult than enthusiasts think.. If
>> >> > nothing else food for
>> >> > thought.
>> >
>> > Robert Smith
>> > Space Studies Institute
>> > web: http://www.ssi.org
>> > the space studies institute is a 501(c)(3) non profit organization
>> > founded in 1977 to promote the education and engineering
>> > for the Human Breakout Into Space
>
> Robert Smith
> Space Studies Institute
> web: http://www.ssi.org
> the space studies institute is a 501(c)(3) non profit organization
> founded in 1977 to promote the education and engineering
> for the Human Breakout Into Space

--
Email from my mobile connection.

# 13881 byalglobus@... on March 2, 2018, 7:16 p.m.
Member since 2021-10-03

> On Feb 27, 2018, at 11:35 AM, markus baur baur@... [spacesettlers] wrote:
>
> so because the first attempt to build a closed ecosystem did not work
> out it will never work out?
>

Biosphere was a marketing disaster, and scientific flop, and a truly amazingly wonderful engineering success. Think about it: They lasted 13 months closed up almost completely before the needed resupply (of O2), and the problem (concrete absorbing the O2, if memory serves) would be pretty easy to fix.

There were lots of problems, but what do you expect on the first try.

>From the point of view of building space biospheres Biosphere 2 was successful.

If this topic interests you, you might check out http://space.nss.org/media/NSS-JOURNAL-ECLSS-for-Large-Orbital-Habitats-Ventilation-and-Heat-Transport.pdf published in the NSS space settlement journal.

>
> first tries at anything usually crash and burn ..
>
> yes - all these ARE problems ... but problems that can be solved ..
>
> servus
>
> markus
>
> > Interesting pessimist's take on trying to settle Mars. Note: I'm not an
> > advocate of
> > his basic message, but respect it.
> >
> > https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ESQ1bKd7Los
> >
> --
> markus baur SCA: markus von brixlegg
> schluesselgasse 3/5 tel: +43 - (0)1 - 50 40 662
> a-1040 wien email: baur@...
> austria/europe icbm: 4811'39"N; 1622'06"E
>
> a portrait: http://www.abcgallery.com/A/arcimboldo/arcimboldo9.html
>
> "der Markus?? .... das ist der mit dem Buch..."
>

baur@chello.at
[spacesettlers] <
spacesettlers@yahoogroups.com
> wrote:
so because the first attempt to build a closed ecosystem did not work

out it will never work out?
Biosphere was a marketing disaster, and scientific flop, and a truly amazingly wonderful engineering success. Think about it: They lasted 13 months closed up almost completely before the needed resupply (of O2), and the problem (concrete absorbing the O2, if memory serves) would be pretty easy to fix.
There were lots of problems, but what do you expect on the first try.
From the point of view of building space biospheres Biosphere 2 was successful.
If this topic interests you, you might check out
http://space.nss.org/media/NSS-JOURNAL-ECLSS-for-Large-Orbital-Habitats-Ventilation-and-Heat-Transport.pdf
published in the NSS space settlement journal.
first tries at anything usually crash and burn ..
yes - all these ARE problems ... but problems that can be solved ..
servus
markus
Am 27.02.2018 um 17:45 schrieb

wlm_efn@...

[spacesettlers]:
> Interesting pessimist's take on trying to settle Mars. Note: I'm not an

> advocate of
> his basic message, but respect it.
>

>

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ESQ1bKd7Los
>

>

markus baur SCA: markus von brixlegg
schluesselgasse 3/5 tel: +43 - (0)1 - 50 40 662
a-1040 wien email:

baur@...
austria/europe icbm: 4811'39"N; 1622'06"E
a portrait:

http://www.abcgallery.com/A/arcimboldo/arcimboldo9.html
"der Markus?? .... das ist der mit dem Buch..."

# 13882 byalglobus@... on March 8, 2018, 7:12 p.m.
Member since 2021-10-03

How might one contact the UK Space Settlers Society

> On Mar 8, 2018, at 7:56 AM, Andy Nimmo andynimmo@... [spacesettlers] wrote:
>
> No Robert, I haven't, but on Sunday coming in the afternoon a number of members of the Glasgow based UK Space Settlers' Society will be meeting to discuss O'Neill Habitats. Our Society was formed way back in 1980 or 81 after persuading UK M.P.s to get space committees going in the UK House of Commons so we've been discussing this sort of thing for quite a while. I'll put your suggestion forward and we'll see what comes up! If anything useful, I'll let you know.
>

On Mar 8, 2018, at 7:56 AM, Andy Nimmo
andynimmo@...
[spacesettlers] <
spacesettlers@yahoogroups.com
> wrote:
No Robert, I haven't, but on Sunday coming in the afternoon a number of members of the Glasgow based UK Space Settlers' Society will be meeting to discuss O'Neill Habitats. Our Society was formed way back in 1980 or 81 after persuading UK M.P.s to get space committees going in the UK House of Commons so we've been discussing this sort of thing for quite a while. I'll put your suggestion forward and we'll see what comes up! If anything useful, I'll let you know.

# 13883 byjohnf4303@... on April 13, 2018, 5:04 a.m.
Member since 2021-10-03

Radiation protection and G are assumed to be included. Even if the first few generations of habitats are a single hab spun opposite a counter-mass on a truss.
Design to spin the radiation shielding for 1G, and the incidental weight/mass of the actual habitat and anything inside it are almost insignificant additional mass.
Musk must know all this, I assume he's following media hype, all of which says "Mars is the next/only target". Same with why I'm still in the Mars Society, though their managers stubbornly use bad science to try to down-pay the importance of the O'Neill colony findings, and also follow the hype about Mars being the next logical step.
Once we get something large-going on, it must go towards asteroid mining for metals to pay for the whole thing, and then to O'Neill habitats. Then we can live at Mars or anywhere else.
Articles like this which are totally ignorant of the Space Colony studies aren't a help.

# 13884 byalglobus@... on April 13, 2018, 4:55 p.m.
Member since 2021-10-03

> On Apr 13, 2018, at 7:31 AM, 'Combs, Mike' mikecombs@... [spacesettlers] wrote:
>
> Well, I would take your point that theres no reason to get fanatical about the 0 inputs/0 outputs philosophy. That said, I think closed ecologies are still an important cornerstone of the ONeill habitat concept.

Complete closure is probably impossible. The best pressure vessels still leak, and airlock ops lose mass. There will also need to maintain rotation in the face of various losses created by rotating the atmosphere. And, last but not least, it will be very difficult to recycle EVERYTHING. Heres an exercise: as you go about your day notice all the things you use and try to image recycling them.
mikecombs@...
[spacesettlers] <
spacesettlers@yahoogroups.com
> wrote:
Well, I would take your point that theres no reason to get fanatical about the 0 inputs/0 outputs philosophy. That said, I think closed ecologies are still an important cornerstone of the ONeill habitat concept.
Complete closure is probably impossible. The best pressure vessels still leak, and airlock ops lose mass. There will also need to maintain rotation in the face of various losses created by rotating the atmosphere. And, last but not least, it will be very difficult to recycle EVERYTHING. Heres an exercise: as you go about your day notice all the things you use and try to image recycling them.

# 13885 bysraj99@... on May 1, 2018, 2:27 a.m.
Member since 2021-10-03

Deforestation is continuing at a rapid pace to feed humans and to expand
settlements, the market economy assumes that we are the only species on
this planet.

Basically we must move away from market economy extremism. On an individual
level we must spend 50% of our time tending to the market economy of which
we form a part and the other 50% being part of cultural institutions where
we volunteer our services to improve our common lot, protect our
environment and natural diversity on our planet.

Humans while they are selfish in protecting their own interest, are also
altruistic in seeking a larger purpose. We must promote Space as a
destination for humans and planet earth as an abode for all living things
(including humans :-) with equal vigor.

Regards,
Selvaraj

On 23 April 2018 at 18:50, 'Combs, Mike' mikecombs@... [spacesettlers] <
spacesettlers@yahoogroups.com> wrote:

>
> Perhaps, but a point I might be failing to get across is that, in the
> current era, we cannot point to anyone who is a refugee due to
> over-crowding from overpopulation, or due to climate change. Current
> refugees are such due to war in their homeland. And thus we cannot justify
> space settlement on this point. Are you thinking about some future era in
> which this is happening? If so, one is of course free to project any kind
> of changes they can imagine into the future, but it would be nice to find a
> reason for space settlement right now.
>
> Are you aware that over-population was more of a 1970s concern than a
> current one? As standards of living have increased, population increase
> has declined. Some of the more-affluent countries (excepting immigration)
> are in a serious population decline. Turns out overpopulation was a
> symptom, not a disease. The disease was poverty. Global population is
> projected to peak at about 11 billion around 2100, and then go into a
> slight decline.
>
> I still believe in space settlement, but do not believe its a necessary
> remedy to overpopulation. I still favor SPS, but not because were running
> out of oil (were pumping as much oil right now as we were in 1970, which
> no 1970 expert would ever have predicted). I still favor asteroid mining,
> but not because were running out of rare elements (Japan just announced
> off-shore rare earth deposits which should be productive for a century). I
> still believe in all of these things, but for different reasons.
>
> Its true that High Frontier was conceived largely as a response to Limits
> to Growth. But we cannot predicate anything on LtG because history since
> has confounded all of its predictions. If we want to persuade others, we
> need to make arguments which cant be easily dismantled by the facts.
>
> Regards,
> Mike Combs
>
> *From:* spacesettlers@yahoogroups.com [mailto:spacesettlers@
> yahoogroups.com]
> *Sent:* Tuesday, April 17, 2018 9:16 AM
> *To:* spacesettlers@yahoogroups.com
> *Subject:* Re: [EXTERNAL] [spacesettlers] Re: "5 Reasons Going To Mars is
> a TER
>
> I rather think you are misunderstanding my last point. What I'm saying is
> that over population and climate change and millions of refugees - which
> are adding to the over population problems - will help persuade politicians
> of space nations to approve of such things as high frontier habitats and
> the politicians will deem that their approval is needed whether it should
> be or not. You are right of course that what is really needed to persuade
> the investors will be a good chance of good profit. Asteroid resources and
> powersats may help but someone will have to profit from one or other before
> either can really take off.
>

Basically we must move away from market economy extremism. On an individual level we must spend 50% of our time tending to the market economy of which we form a part and the other 50% being part of cultural institutions where we volunteer our services to improve our common lot, protect our environment and natural diversity on our planet.
Humans while they are selfish in protecting their own interest, are also altruistic in seeking a larger purpose. We must promote Space as a destination for humans and planet earth as an abode for all living things (including humans :-) with equal vigor.
Regards,
Selvaraj
On 23 April 2018 at 18:50, 'Combs, Mike'
mikecombs@...
[spacesettlers]
<
spacesettlers@yahoogroups.com
>

Perhaps, but a point I might be failing to get across is that, in the current era, we cannot point to anyone who is a refugee due to over-crowding from overpopulation, or due to climate change. Current refugees are such due to war in their homeland. And thus we cannot justify space settlement on this point. Are you thinking about some future era in which this is happening? If so, one is of course free to project any kind of changes they can imagine into the future, but it would be nice to find a reason for space settlement right now.
Are you aware that over-population was more of a 1970s concern than a current one? As standards of living have increased, population increase has declined. Some of the more-affluent countries (excepting immigration) are in a serious population decline. Turns out overpopulation was a symptom, not a disease. The disease was poverty. Global population is projected to peak at about 11 billion around 2100, and then go into a slight decline.
I still believe in space settlement, but do not believe its a necessary remedy to overpopulation. I still favor SPS, but not because were running out of oil (were pumping as much oil right now as we were in 1970, which no 1970 expert would ever have predicted). I still favor asteroid mining, but not because were running out of rare elements (Japan just announced off-shore rare earth deposits which should be productive for a century). I still believe in all of these things, but for different reasons.
Its true that High Frontier was conceived largely as a response to Limits to Growth. But we cannot predicate anything on LtG because history since has confounded all of its predictions. If we want to persuade others, we need to make arguments which cant be easily dismantled by the facts.
Regards,
Mike Combs

From:
spacesettlers@yahoogroups.com
[mailto:
spacesettlers@
yahoogroups.com
]
Sent:
Tuesday, April 17, 2018 9:16 AM
To:
spacesettlers@yahoogroups.com
Subject:
Re: [EXTERNAL] [spacesettlers] Re: "5 Reasons Going To Mars is a TER

I rather think you are misunderstanding my last point. What I'm saying is that over population and climate change and millions of refugees - which are adding to the over population problems - will help persuade politicians of space nations to approve of such things as high frontier habitats and the politicians will deem that their approval is needed whether it should be or not. You are right of course that what is really needed to persuade the investors will be a good chance of good profit. Asteroid resources and powersats may help but someone will have to profit from one or other before either can really take off.

# 13886 bymikecombs@... on May 1, 2018, 2:54 a.m.
Member since 2021-10-03

Perhaps, but a point I might be failing to get across is that, in the current era, we cannot point to anyone who is a refugee due to over-crowding from overpopulation, or due to climate change. Current refugees are such due to war in their homeland. And thus we cannot justify space settlement on this point. Are you thinking about some future era in which this is happening? If so, one is of course free to project any kind of changes they can imagine into the future, but it would be nice to find a reason for space settlement right now.

Are you aware that over-population was more of a 1970's concern than a current one? As standards of living have increased, population increase has declined. Some of the more-affluent countries (excepting immigration) are in a serious population decline. Turns out overpopulation was a symptom, not a disease. The disease was poverty. Global population is projected to peak at about 11 billion around 2100, and then go into a slight decline.

I still believe in space settlement, but do not believe it's a necessary remedy to overpopulation. I still favor SPS, but not because we're running out of oil (we're pumping as much oil right now as we were in 1970, which no 1970 expert would ever have predicted). I still favor asteroid mining, but not because we're running out of rare elements (Japan just announced off-shore rare earth deposits which should be productive for a century). I still believe in all of these things, but for different reasons.

It's true that High Frontier was conceived largely as a response to Limits to Growth. But we cannot predicate anything on LtG because history since has confounded all of its predictions. If we want to persuade others, we need to make arguments which can't be easily dismantled by the facts.

Regards,
Mike Combs

From: spacesettlers@yahoogroups.com [mailto:spacesettlers@yahoogroups.com]
Sent: Tuesday, April 17, 2018 9:16 AM
To: spacesettlers@yahoogroups.com
Subject: Re: [EXTERNAL] [spacesettlers] Re: "5 Reasons Going To Mars is a TER

I rather think you are misunderstanding my last point. What I'm saying is that over population and climate change and millions of refugees - which are adding to the over population problems - will help persuade politicians of space nations to approve of such things as high frontier habitats and the politicians will deem that their approval is needed whether it should be or not. You are right of course that what is really needed to persuade the investors will be a good chance of good profit. Asteroid resources and powersats may help but someone will have to profit from one or other before either can really take off.

Many Thanks and Regards,
Mike Combs
Launch Marketing
(903)-487-3209
[cid:image002.png@01D154F3.7177D580]

# 13887 bywlm_efn@... on May 2, 2018, 4:30 p.m.
Member since 2021-10-03

Transmission and conversion losses are on the order of 50 percent total. So,in real power delivered to the ground it's 2 to 2.5 times.> So the potential revenue per area is about 4 or 5 times that of a ground based> cell> Add to that that a space based solar cell will possibly have a lower life time> (ground based cell today often have a 25 year power warranty) due to the> harsher environment.> Additionally: the necessity of the rectenna

# 13888 bybaur@... on May 2, 2018, 5:47 p.m.
Member since 2021-10-03

Am 02.05.2018 um 18:30 schrieb wlm_efn@... [spacesettlers]:
> Transmission and conversion losses are on the order of 50 percent total. So,
> in real power delivered to the ground it's 2 to 2.5 times.

that bad? i thought they had improved it in the meantime

this makes the economics case for SPS much worse

servus

markus

>
> > So the potential revenue per area is about 4 or 5 times that of a
> ground based
> > cell
>
> > Add to that that a space based solar cell will possibly have a lower
> life time
> > (ground based cell today often have a 25 year power warranty) due to the
> > harsher environment.
>
> > Additionally: the necessity of the rectenna

--
markus baur SCA: markus von brixlegg
schluesselgasse 3/5 tel: +43 - (0)1 - 50 40 662
a-1040 wien email: baur@...
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a portrait: http://www.abcgallery.com/A/arcimboldo/arcimboldo9.html

"der Markus?? .... das ist der mit dem Buch..."

# 13889 bybaur@... on May 2, 2018, 7:25 p.m.
Member since 2021-10-03

do you mean my comparison of ground to space based solar cell yield? or
the data on transmission looses?

servus

markus

Am 02.05.2018 um 21:00 schrieb Robert Smith robert@... [spacesettlers]:
> Do you have a pointer to a source of data? Thanks!
>
>> On May 2, 2018 at 1:47 PM "markus baur baur@... [spacesettlers]"
>> wrote:
>>
>> Am 02.05.2018 um 18:30 schrieb wlm_efn@... [spacesettlers]:
>> > Transmission and conversion losses are on the order of 50 percent
>> total. So,
>> > in real power delivered to the ground it's 2 to 2.5 times.
>>
>> that bad? i thought they had improved it in the meantime
>>
>> this makes the economics case for SPS much worse
>>
>> servus
>>
>> markus
>>
>> >
>> > > So the potential revenue per area is about 4 or 5 times that of a
>> > ground based
>> > > cell
>> >
>> > > Add to that that a space based solar cell will possibly have a lower
>> > life time
>> > > (ground based cell today often have a 25 year power warranty) due
>> to the
>> > > harsher environment.
>> >
>> > > Additionally: the necessity of the rectenna
>>
>> --
>> markus baur SCA: markus von brixlegg
>> schluesselgasse 3/5 tel: +43 - (0)1 - 50 40 662
>> a-1040 wien email: baur@...
>> austria/europe icbm: 4811'39"N; 1622'06"E
>>
>> a portrait: http://www.abcgallery.com/A/arcimboldo/arcimboldo9.html
>>
>> "der Markus?? .... das ist der mit dem Buch..."
>>
>
> Robert Smith
> Space Studies Institute
> web: http://www.ssi.org
> the space studies institute is a 501(c)(3) non profit organization
> founded in 1977 to promote the education and engineering
> for the Human Breakout Into Space
>

--
markus baur SCA: markus von brixlegg
schluesselgasse 3/5 tel: +43 - (0)1 - 50 40 662
a-1040 wien email: baur@...
austria/europe icbm: 4811'39"N; 1622'06"E

a portrait: http://www.abcgallery.com/A/arcimboldo/arcimboldo9.html

"der Markus?? .... das ist der mit dem Buch..."

# 13890 bywlm_efn@... on May 2, 2018, 8:59 p.m.
Member since 2021-10-03

I meant 4 or 5 times the total electrical energy produced by solar cells at theSPS, compared to solar cells on the ground. Then one just multiplies thosefactors by 50% for the electrical energy delivered at the ground for SPS.Maybe this is not correct.> do you mean my comparison of ground to space based solar cell yield? or> the data on transmission looses?>> Transmission and conversion losses are on the order of 50 percent >> total. So, in real power delivered to the ground it's 2 to 2.5 times.

# 13891 bywlm_efn@... on May 2, 2018, 9:21 p.m.
Member since 2021-10-03

https://matter2energy.wordpress.com/2012/03/17/the-maury-equation-redux/> Do you have a pointer to a source of data? Thanks!>>>> Am 02.05.2018 um 18:30 schrieb wlm_efn@... [spacesettlers]:>>> Transmission and conversion losses are on the order of 50 percent>>> total. So, in real power delivered to the ground it's 2 to 2.5 times..>>>> that bad? i thought they had improved it in the meantime

# 13892 bymikecombs@... on May 3, 2018, 1:41 p.m.
Member since 2021-10-03

Down in Long Beach there is the Big Battery.
Yeah, a while back there was a discussion about improvements in PV efficiency or price. Somebody correctly pointed out that any such would benefit SPS as equally well as ground-based. I expressed the opinion that there was only one technical development that would shift advantage toward ground-based and away from SPS, and that would be some rapid, revolutionary advance in power storage. But even then, you raise a legitimate point that wed have to be careful that such didnt have its own attendant environmental problems.
I find your points interesting that no existing system even tries to cover the entire night-long gap.
Regards,
Mike Combs

# 13893 bybaur@... on May 3, 2018, 4:36 p.m.
Member since 2021-10-03

similar argument to mine - only this is looking at lifetime production
and i was looking on average momentary production

servus

markus

Am 02.05.2018 um 23:21 schrieb wlm_efn@... [spacesettlers]:
> https://matter2energy.wordpress.com/2012/03/17/the-maury-equation-redux/
>
> > Do you have a pointer to a source of data? Thanks!
> >>
> >> Am 02.05.2018 um 18:30 schrieb wlm_efn@... [spacesettlers]:
> >>> Transmission and conversion losses are on the order of 50 percent
> >>> total. So, in real power delivered to the ground it's 2 to 2.5 times..
> >>
> >> that bad? i thought they had improved it in the meantime
>

--
markus baur SCA: markus von brixlegg
schluesselgasse 3/5 tel: +43 - (0)1 - 50 40 662
a-1040 wien email: baur@...
austria/europe icbm: 4811'39"N; 1622'06"E

a portrait: http://www.abcgallery.com/A/arcimboldo/arcimboldo9.html

"der Markus?? .... das ist der mit dem Buch..."